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Peace by deadline: Can the DRC–Rwanda pact hold beyond October?

September 25, 2025 by
Herlee media

In a development closely watched across Africa and beyond, the Democratic Republic of Congo (DRC) and Rwanda are set to begin rolling out security measures under a U.S.-brokered peace deal starting 1 October 2025. The pact, backed not only by Washington but also by Qatar, Togo, and the African Union, marks a rare moment of alignment in one of Africa’s most volatile regions.

According to Reuters, the agreement requires the dismantling of the FDLR (Forces Démocratiques de Libération du Rwanda) and the phased withdrawal of Rwandan troops from Congolese territory. Both measures have long been sticking points in relations between Kinshasa and Kigali.

DRC President Felix Tshisekedi (right) and his Rwandan counterpart Paul Kagame meet with Qatar's Emir Sheikh Tamim bin Hamad Al Thani in Doha on March 18, 2025.

DRC President Felix Tshisekedi (right) and his Rwandan counterpart Paul Kagame meet with Qatar's Emir Sheikh Tamim bin Hamad Al Thani in Doha on March 18, 2025.

The October start date adds a sense of urgency: will both sides honor the terms, or will competing interests unravel the fragile truce? Observers describe this as a “peace by deadline” moment, a test of whether diplomacy can outpace realpolitik in Central Africa.

Yet not everyone is convinced. The deal does not directly address the M23 rebel group, whose resurgence has fueled tension and displacement in eastern Congo. Analysts warn that without a clear plan for M23, the agreement risks being only a partial fix.

The stakes are huge. For the DRC, ending cross-border instability could open space for development in its resource-rich east. For Rwanda, it offers a chance to ease international pressure and rebuild trust with neighbors. For the U.S., it signals continued influence in African diplomacy under the Trump administration, especially at a time when Russia and China are increasing their presence in the region.

Paul Kagame, President of Rwanda and Felix Tsisekedi, President of Democratic Republic of Kenya

But the deal’s success will depend on more than just signatures. Trust remains low between Presidents Félix Tshisekedi and Paul Kagame, and spoilers, from local militias to international actors, may test the process.

If the October measures hold, this agreement could reshape regional security and mark a turning point in one of Africa’s longest-running conflicts. If not, it risks becoming yet another broken promise in the Great Lakes region’s troubled history.

The world will be watching closely as the clock ticks down to 1 October. Peace is on the table but only if both sides are willing to keep it there.

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